Fed 'dot plot' shows central bank will cut interest rates 2 more times in 2025
The Federal Reserve will take a more cautious approach to its easing cycle, according to the latest dot plot projections.
The Federal Reserve will take a more cautious approach to its easing cycle, according to the latest dot plot projections.
The Federal Reserve's third interest rate cut of the year will likely have consequences for debt, savings, auto loans, mortgages and other forms of borrowing by consumers and businesses. The policymakers now envision two rate cuts next year, not the four they predicted back in September. Loan rates may barely budge if the Fed sticks with its plan to cut its key short-term rate only twice next year.
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The Federal Reserve adjusted a key part of its rate control toolkit on Wednesday, lowering the rate it offers on its reverse repo facility by more than it cut the federal funds rate. The Fed said that the reverse repo rate will now stand at 4.25% from its prior level of 4.55%, marking a 30 basis point easing, while it lowered the federal funds target rate range by a quarter percentage point to between 4.25% and 4.5%. Analysts believe the largely expected adjustment is a bid by the Fed to nudge cash out of a facility that’s widely viewed as a proxy for excessive liquidity in the financial system.
U.S. central bankers on Wednesday issued fresh projections calling for two quarter-point interest-rate cuts next year amid rising inflation, a forecast consistent with a wait-and-see approach come January as Donald Trump starts his second four-year stint in the White House. The Federal Reserve's latest quarterly summary of economic projections shows policymakers expect inflation by the Fed's targeted metric to end this year at 2.4% and 2025 at 2.5%. The fresh forecasts imply a shift to a far more cautious pace of rate cuts in the new year after Fed policymakers delivered a third straight reduction in short-term borrowing costs at the close of their Dec. 17-18 meeting.
The best way for most investors to approach this type of market is to stick to the long-term plan.
(Bloomberg) -- Here are key takeaways from the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday:Most Read from BloombergNYPD Car Chases Are Becoming More Frequent — and More DangerousFederal Open Market Committee votes 11-1 to lower benchmark rate by 25 basis points to target range of 4.25%-4.5%Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack votes against decision in favor holding rates steady, the second such dissent since the Fed began lowering rates in September“Dot plot” of rate projections shows
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US benchmark equity indexes were higher ahead of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decisi